Thursday, March 19, 2009

bracketology

NCAA tournament time!!!!

I've made my bracket, and so far so good. I had BYU and Butler winning (they lost) and but I called the Maryland upset. We'll see how my other picks for today turnout (I've got Minnesota and Michigan pulling upsets)

In general, I think teams whose per game output is more volatile are more likely to both win and lose upsets. For instance, teams with one single superstar are more likely to pull upsets. As a result, I think teams that rely on 3-point shooting, and single incredible players are more likely to be involved in upsets.

I've got Pitt, Louisville, UConn and Syracuse in the final 4 with Pitt beating Louisville losing to Pitt in the final.

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